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Política
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$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.5M vol.
100%
$350M100%
$25M
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$14.8M vol.
97%
October 1793%
October 18
Trump renames AI by...?
$1.5M vol.
100%
September 30100%
December 31
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$12.5M vol.
100%
March 31, 2027100%
September 30, 2026
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$712.4M vol.
48%
J.D. Vance14%
Marco Rubio
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?
$911.4K vol.
100%
December 31100%
October 23
Next French Presidential Election
$152.2M vol.
46%
Marine Le Pen18%
Édouard Philippe
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$40.9M vol.
58%
March 3135%
December 31
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$24.3M vol.
63%
Democrats Sweep28%
R Senate, D House
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$18.1M vol.
91%
Democratic Party10%
Republican Party
Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?
$430.7K vol.
41%
115-13957%
90-114
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$47M vol.
50%
Gadi Eizenkot30%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
17%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Gavin Newsom
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
$512.3K vol.
59%
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate28%
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
$2.6M vol.
100%
November 15100%
October 31
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
$817K vol.
17%
360-37919%
380-399
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$17.1M vol.
17%
December 3112%
November 30
Texas Senate Election Winner
$3.9M vol.
63%
James Talarico (D)39%
Ken Paxton (R)
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$6.8M vol.
65%
Democratic Party37%
Republican Party
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$74.4M vol.
16%
Yes85%
No
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$73.6M vol.
4%
December 31<1%
October 31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$27.3M vol.
6%
Yes95%
No
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
$430.7K vol.
74%
Yes27%
No
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
$609.4K vol.
100%
Katie Zacharia<1%
Scott Jennings
