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Politics

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Fed Decision in July?

$67.3M vol.

96%

No change

25 bps increase

Iran leader end of 2026?

$30.1M vol.

79%

Mojtaba Khamenei

No Head of State

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1.2B vol.

Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?

$3.3M vol.

88%

160-179

140-159

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$662.4M vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$27.6M vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$675.7M vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$43.6M vol.

24%

Yes

77%

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

$3.2M vol.

December 31

<1%

June 30

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$17.3M vol.

Yes

99%

Next French Presidential Election

$114.5M vol.

Fed Decision in September?

$3.3M vol.

Elon Musk # tweets July 14 - July 21, 2026?

$891.2K vol.

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

$6.5M vol.

Trump out as President by July 31?

$1.2M vol.

<1%

Yes

100%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$62.9M vol.

December 31

September 30

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$6.7M vol.

Elon Musk # tweets July 16 - July 18, 2026?

$213.2K vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

$17.7M vol.

19%

June 30, 2027

December 31, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$5.2M vol.

52%

Yes

49%

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?

$143.2K vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$8.6M vol.

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

87%

Shabana Mahmood

Yvette Cooper

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$34.9M vol.

Yes

96%