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Politica
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Fed Decision in September?
$71.9M vol.
58%
25 bps increase42%
No changeWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$63.4M vol.
16%
Yes85%
NoWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$24M vol.
69%
United Russia (ER)26%
New People (NL)US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$23.7M vol.
61%
December 3137%
October 31Presidential Election Winner 2028
$696.4M vol.
25%
JD Vance12%
Jon OssoffElon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
$1.8M vol.
72%
160-17917%
180-199Next French Presidential Election
$124M vol.
33%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard PhilippeDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Jon OssoffElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
$647K vol.
21%
180-19920%
200-219Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$7.1M vol.
3%
Yes97%
NoRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$693.3M vol.
49%
J.D. Vance17%
Marco RubioStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$10M vol.
30%
Yes71%
NoPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$34.2M vol.
50%
Gadi Eizenkot29%
Benjamin NetanyahuBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$11.8M vol.
18%
December 3111%
October 31Iran leadership change by...?
$24.4M vol.
26%
June 30, 202717%
December 31Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$66.1M vol.
4%
December 311%
September 30Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
$233.8K vol.
85%
September 3046%
September 15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$11.5M vol.
14%
Yes88%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$25M vol.
<1%
August 31<1%
August 15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
$1.1M vol.
<1%
Yes99%
NoBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$10.8M vol.
51%
Democrats Sweep36%
R Senate, D HouseNext round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$10.6M vol.
60%
March 31, 202742%
December 31, 2026Israel closes its airspace by...?
$27.5M vol.
9%
September 301%
August 31Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$5.4M vol.
87%
No Meeting by September 306%
Switzerland