This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Spain

Argentina

Other

World Cup Winner 

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Lionel Messi

Kylian Mbappe

Harry Kane

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Player K

Player N

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion goes unbeaten in every match during the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss during any match in any stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. 

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmed unbeaten champion within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution.

If the Argentina vs Spain match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by July 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point.

The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

History

Record

Transition

World cup mentions

What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Spain World Cup Match?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any goalkeeper scores a goal in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count. The scorer must be a goalkeeper as officially recorded by FIFA.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether a goalkeeper scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kylian Mbappé

World Cup: Silver Ball Winner

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.