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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$66.1M vol.
4%
December 311%
September 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.7M vol.
63%
Anthropic39%
SpaceX
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
99%
↑3k97%
↑3.5k
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?
$1.9K vol.
34%
<275mm17%
275-300mm
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
$19.8K vol.
100%
<425mm1%
425-450mm
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
$42.2K vol.
88%
June 30, 2027?41%
March 31, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
77%
119%
2
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
$12.3K vol.
100%
2800+100%
2900+
Precipitation in Seattle in September?
$1.1K vol.
28%
<1"21%
1-1.5"
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$424.7K vol.
98%
October 3187%
Successful splash down?
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$18.1K vol.
90%
1.38–1.41ºC16%
1.42–1.45ºC
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$9.8K vol.
85%
80-9919%
100–119
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$506.3K vol.
63%
<541%
5-6
Precipitation in NYC in September?
$706 vol.
23%
>6"23%
3-4"
Precipitation in London in August?
$10.5K vol.
99%
<30mm31%
30-40mm
Precipitation in London in September?
$616 vol.
20%
<30mm19%
30-40mm
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$332K vol.
80%
140-15912%
160-179
New pandemic in 2026?
$1M vol.
6%
Yes95%
No
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
$3.7K vol.
100%
2900+100%
3000+
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$3.2K vol.
32%
December 31, 202826%
December 31, 2027
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
$13.2K vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
Precipitation in Seoul in September?
$200 vol.
74%
175-200mm48%
150-175mm
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
$13K vol.
6%
20,000+100%
10,000+
How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?
$239 vol.
73%
<1225%
14
