Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$66.1M vol.

4%
December 31
1%
September 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$5.7M vol.

63%
Anthropic
39%
SpaceX
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.8M vol.

99%
↑3k
97%
↑3.5k
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$1.9K vol.

34%
<275mm
17%
275-300mm
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

$19.8K vol.

100%
<425mm
1%
425-450mm
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...? card icon

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$42.2K vol.

88%
June 30, 2027?
41%
March 31, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.3M vol.

77%
1
19%
2
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

$12.3K vol.

100%
2800+
100%
2900+
Precipitation in Seattle in September? card icon

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$1.1K vol.

28%
<1"
21%
1-1.5"
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$424.7K vol.

98%
October 31
87%
Successful splash down?
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES) card icon

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

$18.1K vol.

90%
1.38–1.41ºC
16%
1.42–1.45ºC
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

$9.8K vol.

85%
80-99
19%
100–119
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$506.3K vol.

63%
<5
41%
5-6
Precipitation in NYC in September? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$706 vol.

23%
>6"
23%
3-4"
Precipitation in London in August? card icon

Precipitation in London in August?

$10.5K vol.

99%
<30mm
31%
30-40mm
Precipitation in London in September? card icon

Precipitation in London in September?

$616 vol.

20%
<30mm
19%
30-40mm
How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$332K vol.

80%
140-159
12%
160-179
New pandemic in 2026? card icon

New pandemic in 2026?

$1M vol.

6%
Yes
95%
No
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

$3.7K vol.

100%
2900+
100%
3000+
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? card icon

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$3.2K vol.

32%
December 31, 2028
26%
December 31, 2027
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? card icon

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

$13.2K vol.

10%
Yes
91%
No
Precipitation in Seoul in September? card icon

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

$200 vol.

74%
175-200mm
48%
150-175mm
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

$13K vol.

6%
20,000+
100%
10,000+
How many SpaceX launches in September 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?

$239 vol.

73%
<12
25%
14
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