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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$43.6M vol.
23%
Yes78%
No
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$6.5M vol.
22%
August 1512%
July 31
Trump out as President by July 31?
$1.2M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$6.7M vol.
43%
August 3115%
July 31
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
$696.3K vol.
98%
Yes3%
No
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
$143K vol.
80%
August 3143%
July 31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$34.9M vol.
5%
Yes96%
No
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (July 13 - July 18)
$75.5K vol.
51%
July 1839%
July 17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$22M vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$93.8M vol.
80%
Nicolás Maduro13%
Delcy Rodríguez
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
$1M vol.
33%
30+12%
40+
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$253.2K vol.
45%
August 3133%
August 15
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$867K vol.
33%
August 3111%
July 31
How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?
$157.5K vol.
98%
13%
0
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$2.8M vol.
29%
Switzerland22%
No Meeting by September 30
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
$1.9M vol.
4%
Mohammed bin Salman3%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$1.8M vol.
31%
Yes70%
No
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$17.3M vol.
15%
December 319%
October 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$5.5M vol.
37%
December 3122%
October 31
Fed Decision in October?
$252.2K vol.
69%
No change19%
25 bps increase
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
$28.5M vol.
12%
December 316%
September 30
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
$810.6K vol.
24%
December 3114%
October 31
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
$743K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$309.8K vol.
95%
July 1893%
July 21
