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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in September?
$70.9M vol.
58%
25 bps increase43%
No changeFed rate hike in 2026?
$8.2M vol.
73%
Yes28%
NoHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$50.2M vol.
89%
0 (0 bps)8%
1 (25 bps)Fed rate hike by...?
$2.5M vol.
63%
October Meeting56%
September MeetingFed Decision in December?
$441.2K vol.
49%
25 bps increase45%
No changeFed Decision in October?
$970.2K vol.
71%
No change27%
25 bps increaseFed rate cut by...?
$3.3M vol.
12%
December Meeting4%
October MeetingWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.7M vol.
42%
4.0%25%
3.75%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.7M vol.
27%
↑ 4.25%14%
↑ 4.5%What will be the next Fed rate change?
$6.2K vol.
81%
Hike21%
CutFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$814.9K vol.
57%
Other45%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
$8.8K vol.
31%
330%
4+Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$731.6K vol.
62%
Other39%
Pause–Pause–PauseWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$30.8K vol.
13%
December 317%
September 30How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$289.8K vol.
83%
4.8%27%
5.0%Fed Decision in January?
$56.3K vol.
61%
No change22%
25 bps increaseHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$225.8K vol.
7%
3.9%6%
3.6%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$443.3K vol.
17%
December 31<1%
May 30Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$164K vol.
8%
Yes93%
NoJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$5.6K vol.
3%
Yes99%
NoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$7.3K vol.
25%
225%
3How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$8.8K vol.
26%
321%
1Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
$7.5K vol.
8%
November 306%
December 31Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
$318.9K vol.
2%
December 31, 2026<1%
June 30, 2026