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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$44.6M vol.
87%
No change14%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54.4M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)Fed Decision in December?
$3.7M vol.
77%
25 bps increase22%
No changeAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$859.1K vol.
80%
Yes21%
NoFed Decision in January?
$556.8K vol.
63%
No change35%
25 bps increaseFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Cut–Pause–PauseHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$397.7K vol.
21%
Below 4.7%13%
Below 4.6%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$373.3K vol.
71%
Hike–Pause–Hike20%
Hike–Pause–PauseWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1M vol.
36%
5.4%29%
5.5%No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
$47.3K vol.
87%
No change14%
Hike 25 bpsWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7M vol.
70%
4.25%16%
4.0%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$110.1K vol.
34%
Below 4.50%16%
Below 4.45%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$106K vol.
46%
Below 5.20%39%
Below 5.15%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$235.3K vol.
62%
5.70%30%
5.80%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$120K vol.
80%
5.10%33%
5.25%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.7M vol.
79%
July 2027 Meeting49%
June 2027 MeetingHow many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$24K vol.
29%
228%
1Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$49.4K vol.
56%
Pause-Hike-Pause19%
Pause-Hike-HikeHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$31.2K vol.
44%
038%
1Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?
$1.3K vol.
13%
Yes90%
NoLisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
$31.5K vol.
11%
December 315%
November 30What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
81%
↑ 4.25%23%
↑ 4.5%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$24.3K vol.
40%
4.5%25%
4.25%